USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis May 11, 2012, Forecast

16:59 |


The USD/CAD is trading at 1.0013 as the USD continues to completely overpower the CAD.
                                        
With the drop in crude oil prices adding the weakness of the CAD, compounded by the drop in gold and all commodity currencies it has been difficult for the Looney to gather any strength.
Canada has had a run of disappointing, negative eco data since late April which continued today, with the CAD trade balance reported well under forecast. Estimates forecast a 1.0b balance and the actual reported was only 0.4b, which is a major surprise, since Canada is a major exporter of crude oil to the US and with high crude prices this should have helped the CAD.
Also in the US today, the weekly unemployment data showed a reduction in first time claims as well as the total unemployed. This numbers are circumspect, as it seems that a lot of the reduction are jobless whose benefits have expired.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports, which cover the current week and are published by Sunday before the new week begins. Daily as the markets close we share any new events, forecasts or analysis that affect the current day. To achieve a full accurate understanding it is important that you study all of our data and analysis as a whole. Please click on the links to find the most recent reports for this asset.
Economic Data for May 10, 2012 actual v. forecast
 
JPY

 

Adjusted Current Account 
0.79T

0.65T 

0.86T 
 


KRW

 

South Korean Interest Rate Decision 
3.25%

3.25% 

3.25% 

 

AUD

 

Employment Change 
15.5K

-5.5K 

44.0K 

 

AUD

 

Unemployment Rate 
4.9%

5.3% 

5.2% 

 

CNY

 

Chinese Trade Balance 
18.40B

8.50B 

5.35B 

 

GBP

 

Industrial Production (MoM) 
-0.3%

-0.3% 

0.4% 

 

GBP

 

Manufacturing Production (MoM) 
0.9%

0.5% 

-1.1% 
  

GBP

 

Industrial Production (YoY) 
-2.6%

-2.6% 

-2.3% 

 

GBP

 

Interest Rate Decision 
0.50%

0.50% 

0.50% 

 

GBP

 

BOE QE Total 
325B

325B 

325B 

 

USD

 

Import Price Index (MoM) 
-0.5%

-0.2% 

1.5% 
  

CAD

 

Trade Balance 
0.4B

1.0B 

0.3B 
  

USD

 

Trade Balance 
-51.8B

-50.0B 

-45.4B 
  

USD

 

Initial Jobless Claims 
367K

369K 

368K 
  

USD

 

Continuing Jobless Claims 
3229K

3278K 

3290K 
  

GBP

 

NIESR GDP Estimate 
0.1%



-0.2% 
  

USD

 

Federal Budget Balance 


30.0B 

-198.2B 
  
 
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF,EUR, GBP and USD
May 11
00:01
GBP






53 

 

07:00
EUR




0.1% 

0.1% 

 

09:30
GBP




-1.0% 

1.9% 

 

10:00
EUR






1.20% 

 

13:30
USD






0.3% 

 

13:30
USD






0.0% 

 

14:55
USD






76.4 

 
Government Bond Auctions (this week)
Date  Time  Country 
May 11  09:10  Italy   BOT auction
May 11  10:00  Belgium

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