The Australian dollar rose after the
release of minutes showing the central bank saw domestic
economic growth overshadowing a “fragile” global outlook at
its Aug. 7 policy meeting.
The so-called Aussie added to yesterday’s gains against
most of its major peers as the Reserve Bank of Australia made no
mention of intervening to curb the currency’s strength, which
has persisted despite a decline in the terms of trade. The
Australian and New Zealand currencies were also buoyed by
speculation talks among European leaders this week will lead to
stronger measures to counter the region’s debt crisis, boosting
risk demand.
“The market was looking for a fair bit more commentary on
the Aussie dollar itself following the monetary policy statement
a week and a half ago as well as the statement accompanying the
policy decision where the RBA seemed to ramp up its rhetoric
about the currency,” said David Forrester, senior vice-
president for Group-of-10 foreign-exchange strategy at Macquarie
Bank Ltd. in Singapore.
The Australian dollar climbed 0.5 percent to $1.0499 as of
5:20 p.m. in Sydney after rising 0.2 percent yesterday. New
Zealand’s currency, nicknamed the kiwi, rose 0.5 percent to
81.27 U.S. cents.
Policy ‘Appropriate’
The RBA’s decision to leave its benchmark rate unchanged at
3.5 percent was “appropriate” given the outlook for domestic
inflation and growth even though “the global economic
environment remained fragile,” according to the minutes
released today.
The bank also said that the Australian dollar exchange rate
“had remained at a relatively high level notwithstanding the
weakening in the global outlook and decline in commodity
prices.”
The Australian dollar has risen 2.8 percent so far this
year even as the ratio of export prices to import prices has
fallen by 17 percent, according to a Citigroup Inc. index.
“The sense that we’re getting across our trading desk is
that a number of investors were short heading into these
minutes, expecting some sort of comment possibly on
intervention, and we’re just seeing those positions unwound,”
said Andrew Salter, a strategist in Sydney at Australia & New
Zealand Banking Group Ltd. (ANZ) A short position is a bet that a
currency or asset will decline in value.
Stevens Testimony
RBA Governor Glenn Stevens is scheduled to testify before
the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics in
Canberra on Aug. 24.
“You will get a bit more color out of the governor on
Friday,” said Peter Dragicevich, a Sydney-based foreign-
exchange economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. (CBA) “I’m sure
he’ll be pressed on the usual topics such as bank funding, and
also probably pressed on the currency and its impact on the
economy,”
Appetite for higher-yielding assets was also supported
ahead of meetings between political leaders in Europe which may
lead to stronger measures to counter the region’s debt crisis.
Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker, the head of
the euro group of finance ministers, will visit Greece tomorrow
for talks on the indebted nation’s fiscal adjustment program.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande meet in Berlin on Aug. 23 to discuss the debt crisis,
and both are set to talk separately with Greek Prime Minister
Antonis Samaras later in the week.
ECB Purchases
The South Pacific currencies pared their gains yesterday
after Germany’s Bundesbank stepped up its criticism of the
European Central Bank’s plan for government bond buying and the
ECB denied a report by Der Spiegel magazine that it had
discussed a plan to set yield limits on euro-bloc bonds.
In the U.S., the Federal Reserve is due to publish minutes
tomorrow of its two-day meeting that ended on Aug. 1. The
central bank, which has pledged to keep its benchmark rate near
zero through 2014, refrained from adding to the $2.3 trillion in
asset purchases it has already made to support the economy. Its
next decision is on Sept. 13.
The yield on 10-year Australian government notes was little
changed at 3.45 percent today. New Zealand’s two-year swap rate,
a fixed payment made to receive floating rates, was little
changed at 2.76 percent.
0 comments:
Post a Comment